Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 89.22%. A draw had a probability of 8.1% and a win for Gueugnon had a probability of 2.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.68%) and 0-4 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.79%), while for a Gueugnon win it was 1-0 (1.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.