Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 86.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.99% and a win for Bethune had a probability of 3.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.15%) and 0-1 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%) , while for a Bethune win it was 1-0 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.