Conference League
Aug 13, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Tolka Park
  • Rodrigo Freitas 24' goal
  • Rodrigo Freitas 27' yellowcard
  • JJ Lunney 70' yellowcard
  • James Roche 74' yellowcard
  • Sean Moore 85' goal
  • Sean Gannon 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Brandt 20'
  • yellowcard Aaron Bouwman 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Leonardo 25'
  • goal Anton Gaaei 39'

Shelbourne vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 7.00pm
Ajax 3 - 1 Shelbourne

Ajax

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 7.00pm
Ajax 3 - 1 Shelbourne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 2-1 (6.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Shelbourne 24.54% (-0.04)
Draw 22.79% (+0.03)
Ajax 52.67% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.57% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 20.43% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 57.77% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 42.23% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 35.45% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 64.55% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 21.45% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 78.55% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 22.68% (-0.04)
Draw 38.41% (+0.18)
Ajax 38.92% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 36.16% (+0.16)
No Goal 5.44% (-0.02)
Ajax 58.4% (-0.15)

Corners

Over 8 58.37% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 30.5% (-0.11)
Over 9 47.01% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 41.63% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 36.32% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 63.68% (-0.10)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 29.42% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 70.58% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 11.03% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.97% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.7% (-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 80.79% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 19.21% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 52.92% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 47.08% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 27.14% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 72.86% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 11.35% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.65% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Shelbourne 24.54%
Draw 22.8%
Ajax 52.67%
Shelbourne
2-1 @ 6.04% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.24% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.62% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.08% (-0.03)
Total : 24.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.03)
Total : 22.8%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.53% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.45% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.8% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.13% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.13% (-0.02)
Total : 52.67%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Mika Godts 6' goal
  • Owen Wijndal 22' goal
  • Kasper Dolberg 50' goal
  • Jorthy Mokio 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 47'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 84'