SheBelieves Cup
Mar 4, 2026 11.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT GEODIS Park
  • Allyson Sentnor 55' goal
  • Emma Sears 69' yellowcard
  • Lindsey Horan 79' yellowcard
  • Lily Isabella Yohannes 79' yellowcard
  • Jaedyn Shaw 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marie-Yasmine Alidou 37'
  • yellowcard Annabelle Chukwu 61'
  • yellowcard Holly Noushin Ward 61'
  • yellowcard Jordyn Huitema 61'
  • yellowcard Gabrielle Carle 87'
  • yellowcard Delaney Pridham 87'
  • yellowcard Gabrielle Carle 88'
  • yellowcard Delaney Pridham 90'+1'

USA Women vs Canada Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 10.00pm
USA Women 2 - 0 Argentina Women

Canada Women

All competitions
SheBelieves Cup
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 7.00pm
Canada Women 4 - 1 Colombia Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 56.12%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 3-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 0-1 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

USA Women 56.12% (+0.23)
Draw 21% (-0.06)
Canada Women 22.85% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.68% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 21.32% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 55.61% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 44.39% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.61% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 66.39% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.93% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.07% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

USA Women 56.24%
Draw 30.84%
Canada Women 12.92%

Team To Score First

USA Women 75.21% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.54% (-0.05)
Canada Women 19.25% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.19%
Equal 8 10.2%
Under 8 41.61%
Over 9 38.42%
Equal 9 9.77%
Under 9 51.81%
Over 10.5 29.74%
Under 10.5 70.26%

USA Women Goals

Over 1.5 53.91% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 46.09% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 31.47% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 68.53% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 13.52% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 86.48% (-0.04)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5 53.43% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 46.57% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 24.87% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 75.13% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 8.98% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.02% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.92% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.08% (+0.02)

Score analysis

USA Women 56.11%
Draw 20.99%
Canada Women 22.85%
USA Women
1-0 @ 9.45% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.21% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 9.01% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.14% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 13.31% (+0.05)
Total : 56.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05%
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 20.99%
Canada Women
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 22.85%

Head to Head

SheBelieves Cup
Apr 10, 2024 12.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Lower.com Field
  • Sophia Smith 50' goal
  • Sophia Smith 50' goal
  • Sophia Smith 68' goal
  • Sophia Smith 68' goal
  • yellowcard Jessie Fleming 23'
  • yellowcard Jessie Fleming 23'
  • goal Adriana Leon 40'
  • goal Adriana Leon 40'
  • goal Adriana Leon 86'
  • goal Adriana Leon 86'
SheBelieves Cup
Feb 17, 2023 12.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mallory Pugh 7' goal
  • Mallory Pugh 34' goal
Olympic Games Women's Football
Aug 2, 2021 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kashima Soccer Stadium
  • Kelley O'Hara 32' yellowcard
  • goal Jessie Fleming 74'
SheBelieves Cup
Feb 19, 2021 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rose Lavelle 79' goal