Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 56.12%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 3-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 0-1 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.