Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.88% and a win for Argentina Women had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%) , while for a Argentina Women win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.