Champions League
Jul 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Matthew Healy 11' goal
  • Aaron Greene 36' goal
  • Roberto Lopes  58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Julio 50'
  • goal Sandro Lima 73'
  • yellowcard Bruno Wilson 81'
  • yellowcard Carlos França 82'

Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 0 Shamrock

Ararat-Armenia

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 5.00pm
Ararat-Armenia 2 - 0 Shamrock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Shamrock Rovers 51.74% (-0.15)
Draw 23.62% (+0.05)
Ararat-Armenia 24.65% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.74% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.76% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 22.24% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 54.84% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 31.55%
Under 3.5 68.45%
Over 4.5 18.89%
Under 4.5 81.11%

First Half Winner

Shamrock Rovers 33.41% (-0.16)
Draw 43.02% (+0.02)
Ararat-Armenia 23.57% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Shamrock Rovers 58.83% (-0.14)
No Goal 5.97% (+0.01)
Ararat-Armenia 35.2% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 59.83% (+0.41)
Equal 8 11.06% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.11% (-0.43)
Over 9 48.39% (+0.36)
Equal 9 11.43% (+0.04)
Under 9 40.17% (-0.41)
Over 10.5 37.53% (+0.31)
Under 10.5 62.47% (-0.31)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 50.21% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 49.79% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.48% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 75.52% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.23% (+0.04)

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5 60.9% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 39.1% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 28.26% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 71.74% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 9.93% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 90.07% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.9% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.1% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Shamrock Rovers 51.75%
Draw 23.63%
Ararat-Armenia 24.65%
Shamrock Rovers
2-1 @ 10.15%
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 9.63% (-0.04)
Total : 51.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 23.63%
Ararat-Armenia
1-2 @ 6.3% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.23% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.76% (+0.02)
Total : 24.65%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 21, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Armenia Football Academy grass
  • Sandro Lima 51' goal
  • Zidane Banjaqui 80' goal
  • Junior Julio 89' yellowcard
  • Zidane Banjaqui 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Grace 40'
  • yellowcard Matthew Healy 81'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Afolabi 89'