Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Sassuolo
39.21% ( 0.24)	26.2% ( 0.05)	34.59% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 53.37% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.81% (

-0.27)

51.18% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.97% (

-0.24)

73.03% (

0.23)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

0.01)

25.6% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.52% (

0.01)

60.48% (

-0.02)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

-0.31)

28.26% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02% (

-0.4)

63.97% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Brescia 39.21%

Sassuolo 34.59%

Draw 26.19%

Brescia	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.21%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.59%