Serie A Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2026 5.30pm
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2026 5.30pm
Sassuolo 2 - 6 Lazio
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2026 7.45pm
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Fiorentina has a probability of 34.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Fiorentina win is 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Sassuolo 38.52% ▲ (+0.23)
Draw 26.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Fiorentina 34.55% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.93% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.63% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 20.37% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 57.49% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 42.51% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 35.51% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 64.5% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 20.82% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 79.18% ▲ (+0.23)

First Half Winner

Sassuolo 28.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 41.84% ▼ (-0.14)
Fiorentina 29.4% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Sassuolo 47.45% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Fiorentina 46.65%

Corners

Over 8 49.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 38.03%
Over 9 36.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 50.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 26.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 73.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 1.5 43.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 56.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 19.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 71.41% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 28.59% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 39.95% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 60.05% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 16.82% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 83.18% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 6.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 93.96% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Sassuolo 38.53%
Draw 26.91%
Fiorentina 34.56%
Sassuolo
2-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 6.86%
Total : 38.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.91%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 34.56%

Head to Head

Serie A
Apr 26, 2026 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Giovanni Fabbian 66' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Fazzini 66' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Fazzini 67' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Fabbian 67' yellowcard
  • Pietro Comuzzo 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luca Lipani 65'
  • yellowcard Alieu Fadera 74'
  • yellowcard M'Bala Nzola 74'
  • yellowcard Luca Moro 88'
  • yellowcard Aster Vranckx 88'
  • yellowcard Aster Vranckx 89'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 6, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Arijanet Muric 7' yellowcard
  • Cristian Volpato 13' goal
  • Kristian Thorstvedt 16' yellowcard
  • Tarik Muharemovic 45'+1' goal
  • Fabio Grosso 59' redcard
  • Ismael Kone 65' goal
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 9'
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Mattia Viti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Riccardo Sottil 17' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 32' yellowcard
  • Lucas Martinez 54' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 58' goal
  • Antonin Barak 62' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 66' goal
  • Pietro Comuzzo 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruan 13'
  • goal Kristian Thorstvedt 57'
  • yellowcard Kristian Thorstvedt 67'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • Andrea Pinamonti 9' goal
  • Matheus Henrique 34' yellowcard
  • Andrea Pinamonti 52' yellowcard
  • Domenico Berardi 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 35'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Domenico Berardi 71' goal
  • goal Arthur Cabral 46'
  • goal Riccardo Saponara 79'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 83'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Jan 7, 2023 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Riccardo Saponara 48' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+1' goal
  • goal Domenico Berardi 57'