Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2026 5.30pm
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2026 7.45pm
Frosinone 4 - 2 Sassuolo
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 2.00pm
Lazio 3 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Davide Frattesi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Sassuolo has a probability of 33.62% and a draw has a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Sassuolo win is 2-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.21%).

Result

Sassuolo 33.62% ▲ (+0.27)
Draw 26.64% ▼ (-0.24)
Lazio 39.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.47% ▲ (+0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.32% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 23.68% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 2.5 52.75% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 2.5 47.25% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 30.34% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 3.5 69.62% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 4.5 17.25% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 4.5 82.75% ▼ (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Sassuolo 24.54% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 47.17% ▼ (-1.27)
Lazio 28.29% ▲ (+1.79)

Team To Score First

Sassuolo 42.62% ▼ (-2.74)
No Goal 6.91% ▼ (-0.22)
Lazio 50.47% ▲ (+2.95)

Corners

Over 8 52.58% ▼ (-5.49)
Equal 8 12.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 8 35.2% ▲ (+5.35)
Over 9 40.65% ▼ (-5.06)
Equal 9 11.93% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 9 47.42% ▲ (+5.49)
Over 10.5 29.99% ▼ (-4.20)
Under 10.5 70.01% ▲ (+4.20)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 1.5 36.3% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 1.5 63.7% ▼ (-0.76)
Over 2.5 14.74% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 2.5 85.26% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 3.5 5.15% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 94.85% ▼ (-0.38)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 73.19% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 26.81% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 40.69% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 59.31% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 2.5 16.95% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 83.05% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 5.67% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 94.33% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Sassuolo 33.63%
Draw 26.64%
Lazio 39.77%
Sassuolo
2-1 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.42%
Other @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 33.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.64%
Lazio
0-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.14)
1-2 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 39.77%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Daniel Maldini 2' goal
  • Patric  38' yellowcard
  • Oliver Provstgaard 46' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 65' yellowcard
  • Pedro 79' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cancellieri 79' yellowcard
  • Adam Marusic 90'+2' goal
  • goal Armand Laurienté 35'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 46'
  • yellowcard Luca Moro 68'
  • yellowcard Josh Doig 68'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Walukiewicz 68'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Walukiewicz 69'
  • yellowcard Josh Doig 69'
  • yellowcard Darryl Bakola 83'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Sep 14, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Mattia Zaccagni 60' goal
  • Daichi Kamada 65' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 82' yellowcard
  • Mattia Zaccagni 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Volpato 19'
  • goal Mattia Viti 66'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • Marcus Holmgren Pedersen 31' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe Anderson 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Rovella 32'
  • goal Luis Alberto 35'
  • yellowcard Pedro 44'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 63'
  • yellowcard Luis Alberto 75'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 77'
Serie A Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Felipe Anderson 14' goal
  • Toma Basic 90'+2' goal
Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 11.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 45'+3'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 90'+4'