Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 5.00pm
Udinese 2 - 5 Roma
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 5.30pm
Sassuolo 2 - 4 Fiorentina
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw has a probability of 18.69% and a win for Sassuolo has a probability of 10.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.22%) , while for a Sassuolo win it is 0-1 (3.59%).

Result

Roma 71.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 18.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Sassuolo 10.22% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.95% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.05% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 20.95% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 2.5 57.84% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 42.16% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 36.49% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 63.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 25.41% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 74.59% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Roma 56.66% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 30.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Sassuolo 12.44% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Roma 72.74% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 5.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Sassuolo 21.49%

Corners

Over 8 63.87% ▲ (+0.37)
Equal 8 10.51%
Under 8 25.63% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 9 52.64% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 9 11.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 36.13% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 10.5 41.62% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 10.5 58.38% ▼ (-0.30)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 64.98% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 35.02% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 39.54% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 60.46% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 20.61% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 79.39% ▲ (+0.18)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5 41.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 58.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 14.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 85.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 96.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 71.07%
Draw 18.69%
Sassuolo 10.23%
Roma
2-0 @ 11.73% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 20.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 71.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.22%
0-0 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.69%
Sassuolo
0-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 2.96%
0-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 10.23%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 10, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Olimpico
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Oct 26, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 50' goal
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 59' yellowcard
  • Sardar Azmoun 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Erlic 90'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • Matheus Henrique 25' goal
  • Kristian Thorstvedt 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Boloca 63' redcard
  • Domenico Berardi 69' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 83' yellowcard
  • Martin Erlic 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Dybala 76'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Kristensen 78'
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 82'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 5.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 3
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Nicola Zalewski 26' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 50' goal
  • Georginio Wijnaldum 90'+4' goal
  • goal Armand Lauriente 13'
  • goal Armand Lauriente 18'
  • goal Domenico Berardi 45'+4'
  • goal Andrea Pinamonti 75'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Andrea Pinamonti 85' goal
  • goal Tammy Abraham 80'