Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2026 7.45pm
Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 5.00pm
Napoli 3 - 3 Roma
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 2.00pm
Cagliari 0 - 2 Bologna
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Daniel Maldini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw has a probability of 19.76% and a win for Cagliari has a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Cagliari win it is 0-1 (4.17%).

Result

Roma 67.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 19.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Cagliari 12.83% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.98% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 20.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.06%
Under 4.5 77.94%

First Half Winner

Roma 48.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 39.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Cagliari 12.56%

Team To Score First

Roma 74.06% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Cagliari 20.72% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 61.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 26.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 48.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.5% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 38.86%
Over 10.5 36.7% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 63.3% ▼ (-0.15)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 61.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 38.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 35.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 16.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 83.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 46.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 53.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 16.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 83.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Roma 67.41%
Draw 19.74%
Cagliari 12.83%
Roma
2-0 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 16.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 67.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.74%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 12.83%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Donyell Malen 25' goal
  • Bryan Zaragoza 57' yellowcard
  • Donyell Malen 65' goal
  • Lorenzo Venturino 84' yellowcard
  • Antonio Arena 84' yellowcard
  • Neil El Aynaoui 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sulemana 59'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 73'
  • yellowcard Riyad Idrissi 73'
  • yellowcard Yael Trepy 87'
  • yellowcard Gabriele Zappa 87'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Dec 7, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Folorunsho 78' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 82' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 83' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 84' yellowcard
  • redcard Zeki Celik 52'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 78'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 62' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Viola 26'
  • yellowcard Adam Obert 40'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Alessandro Deiola 84' yellowcard
  • Paulo Azzi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal 82'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 2' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 23' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 51' goal
  • Dean Huijsen 59' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 65'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 5.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Ibrahim Sulemana 14' yellowcard
  • Adam Obert 61' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 87' goal
  • Jose Mourinho 44'+44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 11'
  • goal Houssem Aouar 19'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 20'
  • yellowcard Houssem Aouar 32'
  • yellowcard Jose Mourinho 44'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 45'+2'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 51'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 59'