Serie A Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 5.30pm
Parma 0 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Simone Lontani

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 2.00pm
Bologna 2 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Samuel Mbangula

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bologna win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw has a probability of 28.88% and a win for Parma has a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.28%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Parma win it is 1-0 (8.99%).

Result

Parma 25.38% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 28.88% ▼ (-0.17)
Bologna 45.78% ▲ (+0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.25% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.48% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 34.52% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 39.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 60.45% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 19.3% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 80.7% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 9.97% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 90.03% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Parma 26.98% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 43.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Bologna 29.22% ▼ (-0.24)

Team To Score First

Parma 43.7% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 11.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Bologna 45.02% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 54.68% ▲ (+1.29)
Equal 8 12.36%
Under 8 32.97% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 9 42.36% ▲ (+1.15)
Equal 9 12.31% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 9 45.32% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 10.5 31.18% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 10.5 68.82% ▼ (-0.94)

Parma Goals

Over 1.5 22.88% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 77.12% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 7.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 92.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 1.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.16% ▲ (+0.04)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 72.45% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 0.5 27.55% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 1.5 37.79% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 1.5 62.21% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 2.5 14.64% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 85.36% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 4.65% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 95.35% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

Parma 25.36%
Draw 28.87%
Bologna 45.78%
Parma
1-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 11.28% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.87%
Bologna
0-1 @ 14.26% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.29)
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 45.78%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2026 11.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Nadir Zortea 46' yellowcard
  • Santiago Castro 57' yellowcard
  • Juan Miranda 68' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Orsolini 87' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Cambiaghi 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Strefezza 54'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordóñez 79'
  • yellowcard Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 87'
  • yellowcard Franco Carboni 87'
  • goal Christian Ordóñez 90'+4'
Coppa Italia
Dec 4, 2025 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jon Rowe 38' goal
  • Tommaso Pobega 87' yellowcard
  • Santiago Castro 89' goal
  • goal Adrian Benedyczak 13'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 72'
  • yellowcard Hernani 86'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 2, 2025 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 37' goal
  • Pontus Almqvist 47' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cancellieri 50' yellowcard
  • Simon Sohm 79' goal
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 68'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Kacper Urbanski 84' yellowcard
  • redcard Woyo Coulibaly 53'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2021 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Andrea Conti 35' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 75' yellowcard
  • goal Musa Barrow 15'
  • goal Musa Barrow 33'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 62'
  • goal Riccardo Orsolini 90'+2'