Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.