Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.