Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.