Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2026 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nou Estadi Castalia
  • Israel Suero 2' goal
  • Alberto Jiménez 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Okoro 6'
  • yellowcard Carlos Hernández 49'
  • goal Jordi Escobar 53'
  • yellowcard José Matos 84'

Castellon vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 28, 2026 7.30pm
Leganes 0 - 2 Castellon
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Ousmane Camara

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.00pm
Ceuta 3 - 1 Real Sociedad B
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Carlos Hernández

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Castellon win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw has a probability of 20.07% and a win for Ceuta has a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.97%) , while for a Ceuta win it is 0-1 (4.2%).

Result

Castellon 67.33% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 20.07% ▲ (+0.17)
Ceuta 12.6% ▲ (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.71% ▲ (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.2% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 21.8% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 56.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.53% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 65.47% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 4.5 23.22% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 4.5 76.78% ▼ (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Castellon 54.69% ▲ (+0.95)
Draw 34.84% ▼ (-1.05)
Ceuta 10.47% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Castellon 73.91% ▲ (+0.75)
No Goal 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Ceuta 19.79% ▼ (-0.75)

Corners

Over 8 54.62% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 8 11.11% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 8 34.27% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 9 43.57% ▲ (+1.08)
Equal 9 11.05% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 9 45.38% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 10.5 33.43% ▲ (+1.54)
Under 10.5 66.57% ▼ (-1.55)

Castellon Goals

Over 1.5 61.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 38.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 36.38% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 63.62% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 18% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 82% ▼ (-0.40)

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 44.92% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 55.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 15.97% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 84.03% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 4.12% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 95.88% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 0.87% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 99.13% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Castellon 67.33%
Draw 20.07%
Ceuta 12.6%
Castellon
2-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 11.3% ▼ (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.29)
3-0 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 17.84% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 67.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.07%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 12.6%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 39
May 9, 2026 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
  • Diego González 27' yellowcard
  • Salvi 73' yellowcard
  • José Campaña 73' yellowcard
  • Anuar 73' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Almenara 84' yellowcard
  • Marcos Fernández 87' yellowcard
  • goal Fabrizio Brignani 52'
  • yellowcard Awer Mabil 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Camara 66'
  • yellowcard Diego Barri 67'
  • yellowcard Agustín Sienra 81'
  • yellowcard Raúl Sánchez 81'
Segunda Division
Sep 14, 2025 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT