Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2026 7.45pm
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren vs Hibernian - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
St Mirren 2 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Killian Phillips

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 12.00pm
Hibernian 1 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Martin Boyle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for St Mirren has a probability of 28.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest St Mirren win is 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result

St Mirren 28.5% ▲ (+2.04)
Draw 26.24% ▲ (+0.32)
Hibernian 45.27% ▼ (-2.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.86% ▲ (+1.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.83% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 26.17% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 49.09% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 50.88% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 27.09% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 3.5 72.9% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 14.62% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 4.5 85.38% ▲ (+0.37)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 24.48% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 40.54% ▲ (+0.27)
Hibernian 34.98% ▼ (-0.50)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 40.81% ▲ (+1.86)
No Goal 7.43% ▼ (-0.16)
Hibernian 51.76% ▼ (-1.71)

Corners

Over 8 64.27% ▲ (+0.40)
Equal 8 10.77% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 8 24.96% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 9 52.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.56% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 9 35.73% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 10.5 41.34% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 10.5 58.66% ▲ (+0.30)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 29.29% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 1.5 70.71% ▼ (-1.83)
Over 2.5 10.12% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 2.5 89.88% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 3.5 2.8% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 97.2% ▼ (-0.24)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5 75.42% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 0.5 24.58% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 1.5 43.16% ▼ (-1.53)
Under 1.5 56.84% ▲ (+1.53)
Over 2.5 18.61% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 2.5 81.39% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 3.5 6.52% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 3.5 93.48% ▲ (+0.72)

Score analysis

St Mirren 28.49%
Draw 26.23%
Hibernian 45.28%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.38)
2-1 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.61)
2-0 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.35)
Other @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 28.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.23%
Hibernian
0-1 @ 10.57% ▼ (-0.60)
1-2 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.54)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.25)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.70)
Total : 45.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Easter Road Stadium
  • Owen Elding 42' goal
  • Ante Suto 64' yellowcard
  • Martin Boyle 64' yellowcard
  • Ante Suto 66' goal
  • Kai Andrews 77' yellowcard
  • Josh Campbell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 46'
  • yellowcard Mikael Mandron 46'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Hara 58'
  • yellowcard Jalmaro Calvin 58'
  • yellowcard Jayden Richardson 71'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 31, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Declan John 36' yellowcard
  • Richard Taylor 45'+5' goal
  • Jonah Ayunga 56' yellowcard
  • Conor McMenamin 64' goal
  • Marcus Fraser 78' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Boyle 3'
  • goal Mykola Kukharevych 10'
  • yellowcard Jordan Obita 23'
  • yellowcard Nectar Triantis 38'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 79'