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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 17, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Celtic Park
St Mirren logo

Celtic
1 - 1
St Mirren

Forrest (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ayunga (51')
Phillips (44'), O'Hara (75'), Fraser (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 14 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hibernian
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 84.81%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 5.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 4-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
CelticDrawSt Mirren
84.81% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)10.14% (0.13 0.13)5.05% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.43% (1.764 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.38% (0.896 0.9)26.62% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53% (1.133 1.13)47% (-1.134 -1.13)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.64% (0.088999999999999 0.09)4.36% (-0.0881 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.97% (0.277 0.28)18.03% (-0.276 -0.28)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.59% (1.801 1.8)50.41% (-1.801 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06% (1.201 1.2)84.94% (-1.201 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 84.8%
    St Mirren 5.05%
    Draw 10.14%
CelticDrawSt Mirren
3-0 @ 11.26% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.47 -0.47)
4-0 @ 8.82% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.076 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-1 @ 6.04% (0.138 0.14)
5-0 @ 5.52% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.78% (0.111 0.11)
6-0 @ 2.88% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.177 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.151 0.15)
6-1 @ 1.98% (0.07 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.3% (0.102 0.1)
7-0 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 84.8%
1-1 @ 4.72% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.53% (0.154 0.15)
0-0 @ 2.2% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 10.14%
1-2 @ 1.62% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 5.05%

How you voted: Celtic vs St Mirren

Celtic
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
St Mirren
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
St Mirren
2-5
Celtic
John (33'), Phillips (48')
Gogic (67'), Phillips (67'), Fraser (81')
Schlupp (28'), Engels (45+1' pen.), Yang (68', 90+3'), Maeda (88')
Jan 5, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 22
Celtic
3-0
St Mirren
Kuhn (33', 68'), Trusty (43')

Fraser (75')
Aug 25, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
0-3
Celtic

Gogic (5'), Rooney (73')
McGregor (3'), Hatate (33'), Johnston (71')
Taylor (73')
May 18, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Celtic
3-2
St Mirren
O'Riley (21'), Furuhashi (37'), Palma (86')
O'Hara (7', 24')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Celtic
3-0
St Mirren
Hatate (52'), Furuhashi (60'), Idah (86')

Strain (25'), Gogic (37')
rhs 2.0


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