Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.