Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.88%) and 0-1 (6.72%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
| 25.47% ( | 21.33% ( | 53.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.36% ( | 33.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( | 55.45% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( | 25.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( | 60.26% ( |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.11% ( | 12.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.7% ( | 39.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 1-0 @ 4.49% ( 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.47% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 1-3 @ 6.43% ( 0-3 @ 4.7% ( 2-3 @ 4.4% ( 1-4 @ 3.3% ( 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 2-4 @ 2.26% ( 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 2-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.2% |