Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.