Scottish League Two Playoffs
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Broadwood Stadium
  • Mark McCaffrey 12' goal
  • Joshua Jack 36' goal
  • Joshua Jack 84' goal
  • yellowcard Kayn Cranston 14'
  • goal Sean McKenzie 27'

Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cumbernauld Colts

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 7.45pm
Berwick 2 - 3 Cumbernauld

Gretna 2008

All competitions
Scottish League Two Playoffs
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Gretna 2008 2 - 1 Cowdenbeath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cumbernauld Colts win with a probability of 62.44%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 19.4% and a draw had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cumbernauld Colts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 1-2 (4.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Cumbernauld Colts 62.44% (+0.37)
Draw 18.12% (-0.56)
Gretna 2008 19.4% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.74% (+1.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.65% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 12.35% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 71.19% (+1.74)
Under 2.5 28.81% (-1.75)
Over 3.5 51.15% (+2.01)
Under 3.5 48.85% (-2.01)
Over 4.5 36.31% (+1.58)
Under 4.5 63.69% (-1.58)

First Half Winner

Cumbernauld Colts 44.73% (+0.90)
Draw 35.64% (-0.22)
Gretna 2008 19.63% (-0.68)

Team To Score First

Cumbernauld Colts 63.27% (+1.06)
No Goal 2.94% (-0.46)
Gretna 2008 33.79% (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 59.18% (+1.53)
Equal 8 11.19% (-0.05)
Under 8 29.63% (-1.49)
Over 9 47.65% (+1.43)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.10)
Under 9 40.82% (-1.53)
Over 10.5 36.74% (+1.22)
Under 10.5 63.26% (-1.22)

Cumbernauld Colts Goals

Over 1.5 66.57% (+1.17)
Under 1.5 33.43% (-1.18)
Over 2.5 42.66% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 57.34% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 23.56% (+0.64)
Under 3.5 76.44% (-0.65)

Gretna 2008 Goals

Over 0.5 55.09% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 44.91% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 28.75% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 71.25% (-0.93)
Over 2.5 11.69% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 88.31% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 4.24% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 95.76% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Cumbernauld Colts 62.44%
Draw 18.11%
Gretna 2008 19.39%
Cumbernauld Colts
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 7.11% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.28)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 4.57% (+0.24)
Other @ 23.1% (+0.58)
Total : 62.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.29% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 5.53% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.46)
3-3 @ 1.89% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.46% (+0.08)
Total : 18.11%
Gretna 2008
1-2 @ 4.81% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.09% (-0.34)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.2% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.78% (+0.32)
Total : 19.39%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT