Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cumbernauld Colts win with a probability of 62.44%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 19.4% and a draw had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cumbernauld Colts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 1-2 (4.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.