Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Hampden Park
  • Lewis Ferguson 61' yellowcard
  • George Hirst 71' yellowcard
  • goal Giannis Konstantelias 20'
  • goal Konstantinos Karetsas 42'
  • goal Christos Tzolis 46'
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 69'
  • yellowcard Christos Mouzakitis 74'

Scotland vs Greece - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Greece 0 - 1 Scotland

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Greece 0 - 1 Scotland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result

Scotland 29.27% ▲ (+0.42)
Draw 26.58% ▲ (+0.11)
Greece 44.14% ▼ (-0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.25% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.68% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 54.32% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 24.29% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 75.71% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 10.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 89.09% ▲ (+0.13)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5 66.53% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 33.47% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 29.89% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 70.1% ▼ (-0.21)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 75.54% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 24.46% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 1.5 41.09% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 58.91% ▲ (+0.52)

Score analysis

Scotland 29.27%
Draw 26.58%
Greece 44.13%
Scotland
1-0 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.58%
Greece
0-1 @ 11.52% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.10)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.13%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Emmanouil Siopis 64' yellowcard
  • goal Scott McTominay 33'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 45'+2'

Build-up

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