Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Kholood win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Kholood win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al Kholood in this match.