Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Raed win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Raed win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al Okhdood would win this match.