Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Kholood win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Al Fayha had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Kholood win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Al Fayha win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Kholood would win this match.