Club Friendlies 3
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • Darryl Bakola 58' goal
  • Armand Laurienté 76' redcard
  • goal Iago Aspas 22'
  • goal Hugo González 83'
  • goal Hugo González 85'
  • goal Hugo González 87'

Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 6.00pm
Sassuolo 0 - 0 Folgore Caratese

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 10.00am
Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Viseu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.29% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.87%).

Result

Sassuolo 48.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 27.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Celta Vigo 23.94% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 25.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 50.12% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 49.88% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 28.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.78% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sassuolo 35.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 44.14% ▼ (-0.11)
Celta Vigo 20.36% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Sassuolo 53.47%
No Goal 8.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Celta Vigo 38.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 36.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 38.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 12.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 49.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 28.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 71.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 1.5 46.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 78.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.33% ▼ (-0.04)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 60.74% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 39.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sassuolo 48.82%
Draw 27.28%
Celta Vigo 23.95%
Sassuolo
1-0 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 48.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 27.28%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.95%