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Santa Clara
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 21, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Santa Clara
0 - 4
Guimaraes


Villanueva (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Andre (6'), Quaresma (27'), Estupinan (30', 55')

Preview: Santa Clara vs. Vitoria de Guimaraes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Santa Clara and Vitoria de Guimaraes lock horns at the Estadio de Sao Miguel in the Primeira Liga just days after doing battle in the Taca de Portugal.

The hosts scraped a 1-0 victory in the fourth round of the competition last week, and Vitoria will be out for blood when they make the journey to Ponta Delgada on Monday.


Match preview

Daniel Ramos, now in charge of Santa Clara, pictured as Boavista boss in June 2020© Reuters

Julio Romao's eighth-minute strike was enough for Santa Clara to dump Vitoria out of the Taca de Portugal in the round of 32 last week, with Daniel Ramos's men now set to face Moreirense in the fifth round next month.

Santa Clara's recent results in the Primeira Liga have been worrying, though, with Monday's hosts losing four of their last six in the Portuguese top flight - a run which includes three home games without a win.

Ramos has witnessed his side come up short in their last two league matches at the Estadio de Sao Miguel, although those two narrow defeats came against Sporting Lisbon and Porto, and Santa Clara were not blown away in those fixtures by any means.

Santa Clara returned to winning ways in the league with a 3-1 triumph at Nacional just before their cup tie with Vitoria, and Ramos's side currently sit seventh in the table - three points off the European places after nine matches.

Meanwhile, Vitoria's narrow defeat to Santa Clara in the Taca de Portugal was followed up with yet another cup defeat - this time to Benfica in the first round of the Taca da Liga on Wednesday.

Joao Henriques's men managed to hold the Portuguese powerhouses to a 1-1 draw after 120 minutes, but Benfica won the shootout 4-1 to condemn Vitoria to their second knockout exit in a matter of days.

Vitoria have been performing well in the league despite their cup disappointments, though, with the visitors taking the spoils in three of their last four matches in the Primeira Liga.

Belenenses are the only side to have shipped fewer goals than Vitoria's seven at this stage, and Henriques's men are notoriously strong on the road, with Vitoria aiming to win their fourth away league game in a row on Monday evening.

Vitoria - who currently occupy fifth spot in the league - will temporarily rise above Braga with a win on Monday, but Santa Clara will leapfrog the visitors if they can triumph on their own patch.

Santa Clara Primeira Liga form: LLWLLW
Santa Clara form (all competitions): WLWLWW

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form: WLWLWW
Vitoria de Guimaraes form (all competitions): LWWWLL


Team News

A general shot of Marcus Edwards celebrating with teammates for Vitoria de Guimaraes in June 2020© Reuters

Santa Clara left-back Mansur is a major doubt for this one as he nurses a muscular problem, meaning that Joao Lucas should reprise his regular role on that side of the defence.

Nene and Cryzan both managed to shake off minor injuries to feature in that win, but striker Shahriar Moghanlou is unavailable as he recovers from a broken hand.

Marco Pereira should come back in goal for the hosts, who could also recall Brazilian forward Thiago to lead the line once more.

Vitoria are not so fortunate with injures and will be missing Joseph Amoah, Mikel Agu, Alhassan Wakaso, Yann Aurel Bisseck and Matheus Mascarenhas for this game.

Andre Andre did not make the cut for the defeat to Benfica with gastroenteritis, but the midfielder is back in training and is expected to play a part on Monday.

Winger Marcus Edwards has recently been linked with a move back to England with West Ham United, but the 22-year-old's compatriot Jacob Maddox is doubtful with a thigh problem sustained in Wednesday's match.

Santa Clara possible starting lineup:
Pereira; Ramos, Cardoso, Villanueva, Lucas; Romao, Rashid, Lincoln; Ukra, Thiago, Carlos Jr

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Varela; Sacko, Fernandes, Mumin, Mensah; Pepelu, Andre, Almeida; Edwards, Duarte, Rochinha


SM words green background

We say: Santa Clara 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Santa Clara know how to beat Vitoria having already done so this season, but changes on both ends will be afoot as the two sides look to continue their charges for a European berth. The hosts' league form is questionable, whereas Henriques's men have taken 10 points from a possible 12 on the road, so we are backing Vitoria to get revenge on Santa Clara with a narrow win at the Estadio de Sao Miguel.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Santa Clara vs Guimaraes

Santa Clara
20.5%
Draw
28.2%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
51.3%
39
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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