Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.