CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 11, 2024 at 2am UK

Arnos Vale Ground

St Vincent & Gr.
2 - 3
El Salvador

Brandon John (43', 43'), Adams (63', 63')
Marshall (68'), Marshall (68'), Crosby (81'), Crosby (81')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Vasquez (20', 20'), Santos Ortiz Asencio (70', 70'), F (87', 87')
Clavel (39'), Clavel (39'), Enrique Sibrian Molina (55'), Enrique Sibrian Molina (55'), Cruz (62'), Cruz (62'), Alexi Benitez (65'), Alexi Benitez (65'), Larin (81'), Larin (81')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Vincent & the Grenadines and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-0 Montserrat
Sunday, September 8 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

El Salvador

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: El Salvador 2-1 Bonaire
Monday, September 9 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Salvador would win this match.

Result
Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	Draw	El Salvador
29.4% ( 0.38)	24.16% ( 0.09)	46.44% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 58.15% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.95% (

-0.2)

44.05% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.57% (

-0.2)

66.43% (

0.2)

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89% (

0.16)

28.1% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.22% (

0.2)

63.77% (

-0.2)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.88% (

-0.28)

19.12% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.25% (

-0.46)

50.75% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 29.4%

El Salvador 46.44%

Draw 24.16%

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	Draw	El Salvador
2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.4%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.44%