Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Bonaire had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Bonaire win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Vincent & the Grenadines would win this match.