World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jun 11, 2024 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Warner Park Football Stadium
  • Ethan Briston 12' goal
  • Mervin Lewis 52' yellowcard
  • Lois Maynard 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Tilo 41'
  • redcard Jean Tilo 44'
  • yellowcard Jordan Cheetham 86'

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Bahamas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 3.30am
Costa Rica 4 - 0 Saint Kitts

Bahamas

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Jun 8, 2024 10.30pm
Bahamas 1 - 7 Trin. & Tob.

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result

Saint Kitts and Nevis 76.56% (+0.45)
Draw 14.68% (+0.01)
Bahamas 8.76% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59% (-2.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.27% (-1.73)
Under 2.5 34.73% (+1.74)
Over 3.5 43.31% (-1.97)
Under 3.5 56.68% (+1.97)
Over 4.5 24.86% (-1.68)
Under 4.5 75.14% (+1.68)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5 92.52% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 7.48% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 73.13% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 26.86% (+0.79)

Bahamas Goals

Over 0.5 53.59% (-2.23)
Under 0.5 46.4% (+2.23)
Over 1.5 17.97% (-1.77)
Under 1.5 82.03% (+1.77)

Score analysis

Saint Kitts and Nevis 76.55%
Draw 14.68%
Bahamas 8.76%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2-0 @ 11.66% (+0.67)
3-0 @ 10.08% (+0.42)
1-0 @ 9% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 6.54% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 5.02% (-0.18)
5-0 @ 3.39% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.26)
5-1 @ 2.6% (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.20)
6-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1% (+98.89)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 76.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.91% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.47% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 14.68%
Bahamas
0-1 @ 2.66% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 8.76%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 27, 2021 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT New Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium
  • Michael Butler 51' yellowcard
  • goal Keithroy Freeman 25'