Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.