Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
3 - 0
Sochi

Tiknizyan (41'), Karpukas (45+3'), Isidor (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Sochi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 5-1 Khimki
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Sochi

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 3-1 Torpedo Moskva
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSochi
48.84% (0.42700000000001 0.43)24.3% (-0.229 -0.23)26.86% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.75% (0.58 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (0.845 0.84)46.34% (-0.846 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.793 0.79)68.63% (-0.791 -0.79)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (0.50500000000001 0.51)19.04% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38% (0.836 0.84)50.62% (-0.836 -0.84)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (0.288 0.29)31.13% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (0.337 0.34)67.46% (-0.337 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 48.84%
    Sochi 26.86%
    Draw 24.3%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSochi
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.86%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
gameweek 12
Sochi
4-0
Lokomotiv
Noboa (33'), Joaozinho (67', 82'), Sarveli (90+2')
Yurganov (7')
Apr 17, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 25
Sochi
2-2
Lokomotiv
Margasov (11'), Rodrigao (43')
Margasov (90+1')
Rodrigao (60')
Isidor (36' pen., 49')
Kuchta (60')
Oct 25, 2021 5pm
gameweek 12
Lokomotiv
2-1
Sochi
Yurganov (41' og.), Jedvaj (49')
Rybus (24'), Beka Beka (56'), Pablo (90+2')
Joaozinho (90+3')
Noboa (30'), Prokhin (50'), Terekhov (69')
Mar 14, 2021 4pm
gameweek 22
Lokomotiv
3-1
Sochi
Kamano (42', 56'), Smolov (88')
Rybchinsky (7'), Zhemaletdinov (83')
Yusupov (58')
Prutsev (45+1'), Miladinovic (90+4')
Oct 31, 2020 4pm
gameweek 13
Sochi
2-1
Lokomotiv
Zabolotny (14'), Burmistrov (40')
Mevlja (55'), Miladinovic (70'), Dzhanaev (73'), Terekhov (78')
Miranchuk (65')
Eder (16'), Rybus (27'), Kulikov (73'), Cerqueira (73')
rhs 2.0


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