Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Valentin Zabransky 40' yellowcard
  • goal Alphadjo Cissè 15'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 21'
  • goal Alphadjo Cissè 32'
  • goal Alphadjo Cissè 49'
  • goal Gonçalo Ramos 72'
  • redcard Filippo Terracciano 83'

Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%).

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 37.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 24.4% ▲ (+0.01)
AC Milan 38.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 23.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.28% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 31.18%
Draw 40.35% ▲ (+0.03)
AC Milan 28.46% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 48.78% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.15%
AC Milan 45.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 37.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 39.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 49.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 28.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 71.06% ▲ (+0.07)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 39.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.06% ▲ (+0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 71.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.18% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 16.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 37.56%
Draw 24.4%
AC Milan 38.04%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85%
Other @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 37.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 5.9%
1-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.04%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Olivier Giroud 14' goal
  • Rade Krunic 46' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 57' goal
  • Junior Messias 90'+1' goal
Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Noah Okafor 28' goal
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 40'