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Real Betis logo
La Liga | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarín
Real Madrid logo

Real Betis
2 - 3
Real Madrid

Mandi (35'), Carvalho (37')
Emerson (12'), Rodriguez (40'), Bartra (81'), Canales (84'), Mandi (90+1')
Emerson (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Valverde (14'), Emerson (48' og.), Ramos (82' pen.)
Carvajal (42'), Modric (53')

Preview: Real Betis vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Real Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to record their first La Liga win of the new season when they head to Seville this weekend to take on Real Betis.

Los Blancos started their 2020-21 campaign with a goalless draw at Real Sociedad on September 20, while Betis have recorded two wins from their two league games this term to sit second in the table.


Match preview

Real Betis players complain to the referee during their match against Sevilla on June 11, 2020© Reuters

Betis have made an impressive start to their 2020-21 season, opening with a 1-0 victory at Alaves on September 13 before recording a 2-0 home success over Real Valladolid last weekend.

Nabil Fekir and William Carvalho were both on the scoresheet against Valladolid at Estadio Benito Villarmarin, and the home side will be looking to put their third straight victory on the board this weekend.

There is no getting away from the fact that Betis struggled in Spain's top flight last season, finishing 15th in the table, only five points above the bottom three.

Manuel Pellegrini was appointed head coach of the Seville outfit in July, though, and the team are now entering a new era under the management of the experienced South American.

Betis are actually unbeaten in their last three league games with Madrid, while they recorded a 2-1 victory when the two teams met in the corresponding match last season.

Real Madrid's Karim Benzema in action against Real Sociedad in La Liga on September 20, 2020© Reuters

Madrid, as mentioned, made an underwhelming start to their domestic season last weekend, sharing the points with Sociedad at the Anoeta courtesy of a goalless draw.

The match was the team's first since losing to Manchester City in the last-16 stage of the Champions League on August 7, and it is important that they get up to speed in the league as soon as possible.

Los Blancos were stunning in the latter stages of last season, winning nine of their final 10 league matches to finish at the summit, five points clear of second-place Barcelona.

The financial impact of the coronavirus pandemic has prevented Madrid from making any major signings during this summer's transfer window, but head coach Zinedine Zidane will hope that Martin Odegaard can take on a big role for the team this season following his return from Real Sociedad.

The capital giants will certainly be looking to put three wins on the board against Betis, Valladolid and Levante before the international break kicks in next month.

Real Betis La Liga form: WW

Real Madrid La Liga form: D


Team News

Eden Hazard warms up for Real Madrid on July 10, 2020© Reuters

Betis will again be without the services of Dani Martin, Victor Camarasa and Francis Guerrero through injury, while Andres Guardado remains a doubt for the home side.

Fekir picked up a knock against Valladolid, which led to his withdrawal in the second period, but the Frenchman should be fit to continue in the starting XI this weekend.

It would not be a surprise to see Pellegrini select the same side that started last weekend, with Joaquin and Sergio Canales also supporting Fekir and Borja Iglesias in the final third of the field.

As for Madrid, Zidane could again be without a number of key players, which was also the case against Sociedad.

Eden Hazard and Marco Asensio have both made progress in their recoveries from ankle and knee injuries respectively, but it seems unlikely that either player will be in the starting XI on Saturday night.

Mariano Diaz is definitely out as he recovers from tonsil surgery, but Eder Militao, Isco and Lucas Vazquez could all be involved in some capacity, having stepped up their recoveries on the training field.

Odegaard is also available after a coronavirus scare, but the Norway international could drop out of the XI for this match, allowing Casemiro to feature alongside Luka Modric and Toni Kroos in midfield.

Karim Benzema, meanwhile, should again lead the line with support from Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo Goes, although Isco would be an option for one of the forward positions if he can prove his fitness.

Real Betis possible starting lineup:
Bravo; Emerson, Mandi, Bartra, Moreno; Rodriguez, Carvalho; Joaquin, Canales, Fekir; Iglesias

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Varane, Ramos, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Modric; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius


SM words green background

We say: Real Betis 1-2 Real Madrid

Betis have been impressive in the early stages of the new season, while their recent record against Madrid is strong. Los Blancos will be determined to put their first victory of the campaign on the board, though, and we just fancy the champions to edge a tight affair in Seville.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Real Madrid?

Real Betis
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Draw
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Real Madrid
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0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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