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Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
Jun 17, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Dusseldorf

Kampl (60'), Werner (63')
Angelino (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skrzybski (87'), Hoffmann (90+2')

Preview: RB Leipzig vs. Fortuna Dusseldorf - predictions, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including team news and predicted lineups.

RB Leipzig will be looking to consolidate their hold on a Champions League place when they welcome Fortuna Dusseldorf to the Red Bull Arena on Wednesday.

In contrast, Dusseldorf currently occupy the relegation playoff spot and are three points from safety following their dampening defeat to Borussia Dortmund.


Match preview

RB Leipzig head coach Julian Nagelsmann pictured on May 27, 2020© Reuters

Leipzig recovered from their disappointing draw with the Bundesliga's basement side Paderborn as they overcame Hoffenheim 2-0 on Friday evening.

A quickfire double from Dani Olmo set Julian Nagelsmann's men on their way to a comfortable victory at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena, and Leipzig have firmly cemented their position among the top three as the season draws to a close.

Furthermore, the gap between Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen has now stretched to five points following their failure to beat Schalke on Sunday, and Borussia Monchengladbach's loss to title-chasing Bayern Munich means that Leipzig will be confident of securing third place for the 2019-20 campaign.

Die Roten Bullen are four points behind second-placed Dortmund as things stand, and the two powerhouses will lock horns next Saturday in what could be a pivotal game for the final standings of the season.

Nagelsmann will be fully focused on the task at hand against Dusseldorf, though, with Leipzig aiming to end a run of four consecutive Bundesliga draws on home soil in midweek.

Dusseldorf could be in for a tough afternoon against Nagelsmann's side, as Leipzig are on a 12-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga and have scored in every home match this season.

Fortuna Dusseldorf manager Uwe Rosler pictured in May 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Dusseldorf were dealt a cruel blow at the weekend as they succumbed to an Erling Braut Haaland winner against Dortmund at the Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Uwe Rosler's men held out for 95 minutes against Lucien Favre's side before Haaland came off the bench to steer a header home and leave Dusseldorf fighting for survival with three gameweeks remaining.

Indeed, Die Flingeraner sit in 16th after 31 games, and they are only ahead of 17th-placed Werder Bremen on goal difference following their 5-1 thrashing of Paderborn.

Dusseldorf have now only picked up one win in their last six matches, and should Werder continue to gather momentum in the closing stages of the campaign, Rosler's side are facing a real risk of an automatic relegation to the 2. Bundesliga.

History certainly does not favour Dusseldorf heading into the midweek clash with Leipzig; Die Flingeraner suffered a 3-0 defeat to Nagelsmann's side in December, and Rosler's men have failed to beat the Champions League hopefuls in seven attempts.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form: DWDWDW

Fortuna Dusseldorf Bundesliga form: DDWLDL


Team News

RB Leipzig defender Dayot Upamecano in Champions League action in November 2019© Reuters

The highly-coveted Dayot Upamecano returns from suspension for Leipzig and will almost certainly slot straight into Nagelsmann's backline.

Yussuf Poulsen and Fabrice Hartmann are still on the treatment table for the Red Bulls, but Marcel Sabitzer returned last weekend to boost Nagelsmann's squad at this crucial stage of the season.

Christopher Nkunku started on the bench against Hoffenheim but the 22-year-old could return to the starting lineup on Wednesday.

Dusseldorf will have to make do without Niko Giesselmann after the defender picked up his fifth booking of the season against Dortmund, but Adam Bodzek will return from his one-match ban.

Giesselmann's absence leaves a spot for former Huddersfield Town defender Mathias Jorgensen to deputise at centre-back, and top scorer Rouwen Hennings is in line for a return fo the first XI.

Goalkeeper Zack Steffen and midfielder Oliver Fink remain sidelined for Rosler's side.

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Mukiele, Upamecano, Klostermann, Halstenberg; Kampl, Nkunku, Sabitzer, Olmo; Werner, Schick

Fortuna Dusseldorf possible starting lineup:
Kastenmeier; Ayhan, Hoffmann, Zanka; Zimmermann, Bodzek, Stoger, Berisha, Thommy; Karaman, Hennings


Sports Mole Logo

We say: RB Leipzig 3-0 Fortuna Dusseldorf

Dusseldorf defended extremely well for long periods against Dortmund last weekend, but they are now facing a free-scoring Leipzig side who will be determined to end their winless run on home soil, and we expect Nagelsmann's side to pick up all three points in routine fashion.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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