Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
  • goal Rogers Mato 86'

Raith Rovers vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 30, 2026 7.30pm
Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Edinburgh

Hearts

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 7.45pm
Hearts 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Raith Rovers 43.09% (-0.04)
Draw 25.05%
Hearts 31.91% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.88% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.48%
Under 1.5 20.52%
Over 2.5 57.46% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.54% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.91% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.09% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.54% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.46% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Raith Rovers 33.05% (-0.02)
Draw 39.2% (+0.03)
Hearts 27.75%

Team To Score First

Raith Rovers 49.44% (-0.07)
No Goal 5.63% (+0.01)
Hearts 44.93% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 53% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.2% (+0.01)
Under 8 34.79% (-0.11)
Over 9 41.02% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.98% (+0.02)
Under 9 47% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 30.26% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 69.74% (-0.05)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 45.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.74% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.26% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.25% (+0.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 68.8% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.2% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 36.44% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 63.56% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.19%
Under 3.5 94.81%

Score analysis

Raith Rovers 43.1%
Draw 25.05%
Hearts 31.91%
Raith Rovers
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37%
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.35% (-0.04)
Total : 43.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.05%
Hearts
1-2 @ 7.9% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 31.91%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Fernandy Mendy 25' yellowcard
  • Iain Davidson 58' redcard
  • Reghan Tumilty 81' yellowcard
  • goal Gary Mackay-Steven 11'
  • goal Euan Henderson 57'
  • goal Steven Naismith 70'
  • goal Gary Mackay-Steven 73'
  • yellowcard F 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Regan Hendry 40' redcard
  • Manny Duku 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Smith 18'
  • goal Liam Boyce 36'
  • goal Euan Henderson 39'
  • goal Armand Gnanduillet 84'
  • goal Armand Gnanduillet 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Liam Boyce 58' goal
  • Steven Naismith 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 90'+3' goal
  • goal Gozie Ugwu 5'
  • goal Manny Duku 47'
  • goal Reghan Tumilty 52'
  • yellowcard Kyle Benedictus 74'
  • yellowcard Manny Duku 83'
  • yellowcard Brad Spencer 90'+9'
Scottish League Cup
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Craig Wighton 2' goal
  • Craig Wighton 40' goal
  • Jordan Roberts 56' yellowcard
  • Craig Wighton 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Benedictus 2'
  • yellowcard Dylan Tait 32'
  • goal Manny Duku 54'
  • yellowcard Iain Davidson 89'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 21, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Iain Davidson 48' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 51' goal
  • goal Michael Smith 78'
Scottish Cup
Jan 25, 2017 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rory Currie 35' goal
  • Malaury Martin 94' goal
  • Jamie Walker 105' goal
  • Bjoern Johnsen 114' goal
  • goal Bobby Barr 14'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 100'