Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Al-Sailiya had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Al-Sailiya win was 1-2 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.