Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 38.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.16%) and 3-1 (4.78%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.