Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 38.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.16%) and 3-1 (4.78%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Al Wakrah	Draw	Al Gharafa
39.2% ( -0.01)	22.14% ( 0)	38.65% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 68.83% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.64% (

-0)

31.35% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.19% (

-0.01)

52.81% (

0.01)

Al Wakrah Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.08% (

-0)

16.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.01% (

-0.01)

46.98% (

0.01)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.84% (

17.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.61% (

47.39%

Score Analysis

Al Wakrah 39.2%

Al Gharafa 38.65%

Draw 22.14%

Al Wakrah	Draw	Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.38% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.12% 0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.28% Total : 38.65%