Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.62%) and 0-1 (5.6%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.