Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.