Conference League
Aug 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
4
ET Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
  • Bruno Langa 23' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lobato 58' yellowcard
  • Kady Borges 59' goal
  • Marko Jankovic 90' yellowcard
  • Jaly Mouaddib 92' yellowcard
  • Bence Várkonyi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Marko Jankovic 106' redcard
  • yellowcard Ramiz Zerrouki 22'
  • goal Marko Pjaca 79'
  • goal Max Bruns 90'+2'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 94'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 106'
  • goal Younes Taha 114'
  • yellowcard Younes Taha 116'

Qarabag FK vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.00pm
FC Twente 0 - 1 Qarabag

FC Twente

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 7.00pm
FC Twente 0 - 1 Qarabag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%).

Result

Qarabag FK 43.83% (+0.01)
Draw 23.68% (+0.04)
FC Twente 32.52% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.4% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.73% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.27% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 34.42% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.58% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.03%
Under 4.5 78.97%

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 36.24% (-0.22)
Draw 34.34% (+0.21)
FC Twente 29.41% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 53.91% (+0.04)
No Goal 6.11%
FC Twente 39.98% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 59.06% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.61% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.32% (-0.11)
Over 9 48.14% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 40.94% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 37.75% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 62.25% (-0.10)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 45.26% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 54.74% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 21.88% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 78.12% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.55% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.45% (-0.04)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5 67.11%
Under 0.5 32.89%
Over 1.5 35.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.31% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.87% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 85.13% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.23% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.77% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 43.85%
Draw 23.68%
FC Twente 32.53%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.35% (+0.02)
Total : 43.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 23.68%
FC Twente
0-1 @ 7.61% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.28% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.03% (-0.05)
Total : 32.53%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Robin Pröpper  23' yellowcard
  • Aske Adelgaard 28' yellowcard
  • Daouda Weidmann 34' yellowcard
  • Ramiz Zerrouki 58' yellowcard
  • Daan Rots 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Silva 28'
  • goal Kady Borges 52'