Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.00pm
De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Qarabag FK has a probability of 23.23% and a draw has a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win is 1-2 (5.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.43%).

Result

FC Twente 56.25% (+0.08)
Draw 20.55% (+0.06)
Qarabag FK 23.23% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.16% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.34% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 18.66% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 60.53% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 39.47% (-0.28)
Over 3.5 37.95% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 62.05% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 24.39% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 75.61% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

FC Twente 41.65% (+0.11)
Draw 37.39% (-0.09)
Qarabag FK 20.96% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

FC Twente 62.09% (+0.16)
No Goal 4.57% (-0.02)
Qarabag FK 33.34% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 51.37% (+0.22)
Equal 8 10.72% (-0.01)
Under 8 37.91% (-0.22)
Over 9 40.93% (+0.22)
Equal 9 10.44%
Under 9 48.63% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 31.51% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 68.49% (-0.21)

FC Twente Goals

Over 1.5 56.02% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 43.98% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 30.43% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 69.57% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 13.12% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 86.88% (-0.18)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 59.87% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 40.13% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 28.97% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.03% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.33% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.45% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.55% (+0.01)

Score analysis

FC Twente 56.26%
Draw 20.54%
Qarabag FK 23.23%
FC Twente
2-1 @ 10.1% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.41% (-0.04)
Other @ 13.1% (+0.17)
Total : 56.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 20.54%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.28% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.43% (-0.03)
Total : 23.23%