Conference League
Aug 13, 2026 5.00pm
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))

Qarabag FK vs Dynamo Kiev - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 6.00pm
Dynamo Kiev 1 - 0 Qarabag

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 6, 2026 6.00pm
Dynamo Kiev 1 - 0 Qarabag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Dynamo Kiev has a probability of 29.22% and a draw has a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win is 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).

Result

Qarabag FK 47.53%
Draw 23.26%
Dynamo Kiev 29.22%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.58%
Under 1.5 21.42%
Over 2.5 57.41%
Under 2.5 42.59%
Over 3.5 35.68%
Under 3.5 64.28%
Over 4.5 21.96%
Under 4.5 78.04%

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 34.72%
Draw 35.48%
Dynamo Kiev 29.8%

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 50.44%
No Goal 5.64%
Dynamo Kiev 43.92%

Corners

Over 8 58.53%
Equal 8 10.96%
Under 8 30.51%
Over 9 47.29%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 41.47%
Over 10.5 36.69%
Under 10.5 63.31%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 48.19%
Under 1.5 51.81%
Over 2.5 24.06%
Under 2.5 75.94%
Over 3.5 9.62%
Under 3.5 90.38%

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5 64.62%
Under 0.5 35.38%
Over 1.5 33.83%
Under 1.5 66.17%
Over 2.5 13.95%
Under 2.5 86.05%
Over 3.5 5.06%
Under 3.5 94.94%

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 47.54%
Draw 23.26%
Dynamo Kiev 29.21%
Qarabag FK
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.1%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 9.3%
Total : 47.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
Dynamo Kiev
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-1 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 29.21%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 6, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Matviy Ponomarenko 10' goal
  • Vladyslav Dubinchak 14' yellowcard
  • Tomasz Kędziora 81' yellowcard
  • Mykola Shaparenko 90'+6' yellowcard
  • redcard Cebrail Makreckis 88'
  • yellowcard Matheus Silva 90'+4'