Conference League
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Aug 13, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT :
1
0
FT
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
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-
Jaly Mouaddib
12'
-
Badavi Hüseynov
62'
-
Oleksiy Kashchuk
69'
-
Vladyslav Dubinchak
29'
-
Matviy Ponomarenko
45'+4'
Qarabag FK vs Dynamo Kiev - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result
Qarabag FK
45.92%
▲
(+0.68)
Draw
23.12%
▼
(-0.33)
Dynamo Kiev
30.96%
▼
(-0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
55.8%
▲
(+1.17)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.67%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
21.33%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 2.5
57.21%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 2.5
42.79%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 3.5
35.72%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 3.5
64.28%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 4.5
21.87%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 4.5
78.13%
▼
(-0.36)
First Half Winner
Qarabag FK
32.25%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
35.98%
▲
(+0.51)
Dynamo Kiev
31.77%
▼
(-0.34)
Team To Score First
Qarabag FK
48.03%
▼
(-0.25)
No Goal
5.54%
▼
(-0.16)
Dynamo Kiev
46.43%
▲
(+0.40)
Corners
Over 8
58.21%
▲
(+1.61)
Equal 8
10.98%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 8
30.81%
▼
(-1.52)
Over 9
46.99%
▲
(+1.57)
Equal 9
11.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 9
41.79%
▼
(-1.61)
Over 10.5
36.41%
▲
(+1.38)
Under 10.5
63.58%
▼
(-1.40)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 1.5
46.74%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 1.5
53.26%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 2.5
22.91%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 2.5
77.09%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 3.5
9.08%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 3.5
90.92%
▼
(-0.38)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5
65.83%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
34.17%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
35.1%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
64.9%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 2.5
14.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
85.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
5.42%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
94.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Qarabag FK
45.91%
Draw
23.12%
Dynamo Kiev
30.96%
Qarabag FK
1-0
@
9.12%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.35)
Total : 45.91%
2-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.35)
Total : 45.91%
Draw
1-1
@
10.26%
▼
(-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.12%
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.12%
Dynamo Kiev
1-2
@
6.94%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.96%
0-1 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.96%
Head to Head
Conference League
-
Matviy Ponomarenko
10'
-
Vladyslav Dubinchak
14'
-
Tomasz Kędziora
81'
-
Mykola Shaparenko
90'+6'
-
Cebrail Makreckis
88'
-
Matheus Silva
90'+4'