Puerto Rico national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Estadio Jose F. Pepe Raymundi
Aruba national football team

Puerto Rico
5 - 1
Aruba

Rivera (8', 8'), Hernandez (23', 23'), Rios (55', 55'), Servania (62', 62'), Diaz (81', 81')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Jimenez (22', 22')
Ostiana (35'), Ostiana (35'), Senchi (53'), Senchi (53'), Nedd (66'), Nedd (66'), Paul (80'), Paul (80')
Paul (90+3'), Paul (90+3')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Puerto Rico and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puerto Rico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Puerto Rico 2-1 Sint Maarten
Monday, October 14 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 5-3 Aruba
Tuesday, October 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Aruba win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.

Result
Puerto RicoDrawAruba
63.01% (2.646 2.65)18.75% (-0.633 -0.63)18.23% (-2.01 -2.01)
Both teams to score 63.58% (-1.395 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.26% (-0.178 -0.18)30.74% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.92% (-0.215 -0.22)52.08% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Puerto Rico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (0.578 0.58)9.41% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.36% (1.342 1.34)31.64% (-1.337 -1.34)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-1.996 -2)29.82% (2 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-2.486 -2.49)65.9% (2.489 2.49)
Score Analysis
    Puerto Rico 63.01%
    Aruba 18.23%
    Draw 18.75%
Puerto RicoDrawAruba
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.463 0.46)
3-1 @ 7.47% (0.224 0.22)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.232 0.23)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.511 0.51)
3-2 @ 4.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.24 0.24)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.386 0.39)
4-2 @ 2.67%
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.163 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.221 0.22)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.032 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.08% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 63.01%
1-1 @ 8.02% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-0 @ 2.81% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.75%
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.383 -0.38)
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.259 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.275 -0.28)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 18.23%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 1am
League B
Aruba
0-1
Puerto Rico

Bennett (34'), Lentink (37'), Perret Gentil (70'), Paul (86'), Ostiana (90+6')
Antonetti (73')
Sulia (27'), Ortiz (88'), Servania (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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