Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2026 8.45pm
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Maritimo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 2 - 0 Guimaraes
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Samu

Maritimo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 6.00pm
Maritimo 1 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Raphael Guzzo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw has a probability of 26.03% and a win for Maritimo has a probability of 22.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.73%) , while for a Maritimo win it is 0-1 (7.74%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.93% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 26.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Maritimo 22.04% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.77% ▲ (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.25% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 29.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 44.47% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 55.53% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 23.24% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 76.76% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 12.53% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 35.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 48.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Maritimo 15.73% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.02% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 8.53% ▼ (-0.09)
Maritimo 32.45% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 44.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 44.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 34.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.32%
Under 9 55.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 25.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 44.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 19.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5 56.89% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 43.11% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 21.76% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 78.24% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 5.91% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 94.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 1.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.69% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.92%
Draw 26.04%
Maritimo 22.04%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 13.48% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 51.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.04%
Maritimo
0-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 22.04%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio dos Barreiros
  • Geny Catamo 87' goal
  • goal Tiago Silva 37'
  • goal Andre Silva 65'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Tiago Silva 70' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edgar Costa 58' yellowcard
  • Stefano Beltrame 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 58'
  • yellowcard Maga 72'
  • goal Nicolas Janvier 82'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Quaresma 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2021 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oscar Estupinan 76' goal
  • Toni Borevkovic 88' yellowcard
  • Rochinha 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Winck 68'
  • goal Claudio Winck 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 16, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rene 17' yellowcard
  • Jorge Correa 35' yellowcard
  • Diederrick Joel 65' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pelagio 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gideon Mensah 35'
  • yellowcard Falaye Sacko 43'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 31, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Abdul Mumin 41' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 48' goal
  • Easah Suliman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rene 10'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Hermes 82'