Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
0 - 1
Everton

Schar (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alcaraz (65')
Gueye (24'), Young (77'), Mykolenko (81'), Garner (83')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle
Sunday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 2-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 18 at 12pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Everton
66.72% ( -6.49)	18.86% ( 2.77)	14.41% ( 3.72)

Both teams to score 53.9% (

1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.95% (

-3.68)

39.04% (

3.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.63% (

-3.97)

61.37% (

3.97)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.16% (

-2.5)

10.84% (

2.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.07% (

-5.87)

34.92% (

5.87)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.46% (

3.45)

39.54% (

-3.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.77% (

3.05)

76.23% (

-3.05)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 66.72%

Everton 14.41%

Draw 18.86%

Newcastle United	Draw	Everton
2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( -1.32) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.46) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( -1.34) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.76) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.89) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.59) Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.72%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( 1.32) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.7) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.86%	1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.93) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.57) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.38) Other @ 1.82% Total : 14.41%