Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 2.00pm
Sunderland 1 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
João Pedro

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 12.30pm
Leeds 1 - 0 Spurs
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw has a probability of 22.48% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 1-2 (5.24%).

Result

Chelsea 57.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 22.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Leeds United 20.03% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.37%
Under 1.5 20.63%
Over 2.5 57.81%
Under 2.5 42.2%
Over 3.5 36.23%
Under 3.5 63.77%
Over 4.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 44.55%
Draw 37.29%
Leeds United 18.16%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 64.75% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Leeds United 29.69%

Corners

Over 8 70.18%
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 19.51%
Over 9 58.43%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 29.82%
Over 10.5 46.31%
Under 10.5 53.69%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 56.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 30.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 56.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 43.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 25.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.49%
Under 2.5 91.51%
Over 3.5 2.5%
Under 3.5 97.5%

Score analysis

Chelsea 57.49%
Draw 22.49%
Leeds United 20.02%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 13.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 57.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.49%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-1 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 20.02%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Sep 9, 2026 8.15pm
6
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Reggie Watson 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 53' goal
  • Cole Palmer 55' goal
  • Pedro Neto 60' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 65' goal
  • Valentín Barco 80' goal
  • Xabi Alonso 82' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+4' goal
  • goal Tarik Muharemović 23'
  • goal Brenden Aaronson 48'
  • goal Dominic Calvert-Lewin 75'
FA Cup
Apr 26, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Enzo Fernández 23' goal
  • Moisés Caicedo 60' yellowcard
  • Andrey Santos 66' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 71' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 77' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 46'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 46'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 74'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 74'
  • yellowcard Pascal Struijk 76'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 78'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 84'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 86'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Malo Gusto 8' yellowcard
  • Josh Acheampong 15' yellowcard
  • João Pedro 24' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 46' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 58' goal
  • Cole Palmer 58' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 64' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 67' yellowcard
  • Wesley Fofana 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 79' yellowcard
  • Moisés Caicedo 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Gudmundsson 19'
  • yellowcard Sebastiaan Bornauw 22'
  • yellowcard James Justin 45'
  • yellowcard Noah Okafor 55'
  • goal Lukas Nmecha 67'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 67'
  • goal Noah Okafor 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'+6'
Premier League
Dec 3, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
  • Jaka Bijol 6' goal
  • Anton Stach 35' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 43' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 72' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 39'
  • yellowcard Estêvão 39'
  • goal Pedro Neto 50'
  • goal Pedro Neto  50'
FA Cup
Feb 28, 2024 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nicolas Jackson 15' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 37' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 40' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 41' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 49' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 90' goal
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 8'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 69'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wesley Fofana 53' goal